Thursday 23 May 2019

Shorted Tesla in my CFD account

I decided to short Tesla again yesterday (not sure if the trade was executed, as I placed it while the markets were closed, so it depends what happens with the US market overnight). Last time I did so Tesla was up around $300/share, but rebounded after a dip, so I closed out. I should have kept my short position, as since then it has been in a remorseless downtrend. If my order gets executed, I'm hoping that Tesla won't make a miraculous turnaround - at the moment they seem to be counting on cost-cutting and a sudden increase in market share to stem their negative cashflow crisis before it runs out (they apparently have about 10 months worth of cash, after the recent $2B injection).

If things don't turn around, one Telsa-watching commentator has predicted the share price could drop to $10 (why not say $0?). I don't expect it to do that (unless Tesla looks like going broke and ends up being acquired by one of the 'real' car companies), but I'm hoping that it hasn't reached bottom yet. We'll see how things turn out.

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