Sunday 8 July 2007

Poll Result: What average annual return do you expect from stocks in the next ten years?

No real surprises here, the opinion of the readers of this blog appear to be in line with historical returns of the stock market over ten year periods. If anything, the responses show a slightly more optimistic view of likely returns over the next ten years than professional pundits consider likely.



Copyright Enough Wealth 2007


2 comments:

Anonymous said...

Well, the graph on the right shows what actually happened...
I hope the readers have learned to dismiss the MSM and instead read the alternative sources.
The crash was predicted well in advance. You could have made some serious money instead of losing it.

enoughwealth@yahoo.com said...

I did get a bit cautious in 2007 and bought some Index Put options to hedge my market exposure. However, where they expired in Dec 2007 I couldn't easily find equivalent options, and I made the mistake of not following up on getting new options in place at the start of 2008. When the GFC started to impact the markets I initially expected it would be the "normal" 20%-30% market correction, so with the market already down 15%+ from its 2007 peaks I gave up on taking out more put options. So I ended up holding a geared stock portfolio without any hedging during the biggest market meltdown for almost a century....

Being forced to sell off some of my portfolio at the bottom of the market to cover margin calls crystalised a large chunk of my paper losses. So it's going to be a long climb back up to my peak NW, even if the market does OK from here (and with the US and Eurozone debt crises, the market could do poorly for another decade).